The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has raised its growth projections for Sudan, signaling cautious optimism for the country’s post-war recovery. The revised forecast assumes the ongoing conflict will end by late 2025, allowing for reconstruction and renewed economic activity.
The IMF maintains its estimate of a 23.4% economic contraction in 2024, reflecting the deep impact of war on production, trade, and infrastructure. However, growth in 2025 is now projected at 3.2%, up from an earlier forecast of a 0.4% contraction, suggesting an anticipated stabilization of the economy once hostilities cease.
For 2026, the IMF expects a stronger rebound, raising its forecast from 8.8% to 9.5% growth. The recovery is expected to be driven by reconstruction spending and the revival of key sectors such as agriculture, gold, oil, and infrastructure.
IMF analysts caution that these projections depend on peace, political stability, and the implementation of reforms that attract investment and aid. Sudan’s economy remains under severe strain, with widespread displacement and infrastructure damage posing major challenges to recovery.
